A large part of Joe Biden’s so-called success in 2020 was rooted in the balance of the Senate elevating less important states to higher focuses.
With strong turnouts generated as a result of paper thin majorities in the Senate, new swing states have emerged.
And now Joe Biden was left dazed and confused after this major campaign failure in a must-win battleground state was exposed.
In the last 20 years, we have seen some traditional battleground states shift from toss-ups to solidly in either Republican or Democrats’ column, while other states have emerged as new focal points.
States like Florida and Ohio have essentially sealed themselves as red states.
Florida was famously recognized as the most important election state in the union back in 2000, as George W. Bush and Al Gore virtually tied, leading to a legal battle that went all the way to the Supreme Court.
In 2008, Barack Obama carried the swing state of Florida by roughly 2%.
That trend began to shift in both 2016 and 2020, as Trump won the state by 1.2% and 3.4% respectively, but since Governor Ron DeSantis’ historic 2022 landslide victory, the state has unquestionably become a Republican stronghold.
Ohio found itself in a similar position.
In 2000, Bush was able to score the win over Gore, only for Obama to take it back by 2008.
By the time 2020 came around, Trump won the state by such a large margin that it seems unlikely that Ohio will enter the swing state focus again any time soon.
Trump was able to put the Great Lake states of Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin much more in play as well going back to 2016.
With the map constantly changing, two new states have emerged as focal points as well.
Arizona and Georgia, two states that have traditionally voted Republican, became huge plays for Democrat candidates.
Arizona was able to elect Democrat turned self-proclaimed “independent” Kyrsten Simena to the Senate, while Georgia installed Democrats Raphael Warnock and Jon Ossoff as well, giving Democrats the majority.
Senate elections here, with the balance of the Senate in mind, became high focus races for the desperate Democrat Party as left-wing organizations worked tirelessly to tip the balance of power in the Senate in their favor.
Due to the attention given, the Democrat machine dumped hundreds of millions of dollars into these formally overlooked states.
Massive turnout paired with control over Democrats’ media allies and last minute changes to election policy in the name of a “medical emergency” was enough to cause the Democrats to win these races.
These Senate races were able to bring out Democrats who would not have otherwise been motivated by President Joe Biden himself to come out and vote.
With 2024 around the corner, Biden hopes to repeat the success he had found in 2020.
This time, however, there will be no top-focus Senate races taking place in Georgia, one of the states that put Biden over the 270 votes necessary to win in 2020.
Without the extra help available, a new poll has shown that Biden is struggling to secure the must-win state of Georgia.
After Trump carried the state by five points in 2016, Georgia awarded Biden its electoral votes by less than a quarter of a point.
In a head to head rematch of that election, the Atlanta Journal-Constitution found that Trump has support from 45% of likely voters compared to Biden’s 37%.
While this poll showed that roughly 20% of voters have yet to decide on committing to one candidate or the other, Biden’s Georgia prospects are threatened by roughly 10% of black voters who have stated they do not plan on voting at all.
This is a major problem for Biden, who was able to lean heavily on Senator Warnock running a strong, organized campaign in the state back in 2020.
His absence on the ballot is something that Biden is already feeling very strongly.
The poll, conducted by the University of Georgia’s School of Public and International Affairs, showed that “about 62% of registered [Georgia] voters are critical of the president’s job performance, and a slim majority say they ‘strongly disapprove’ of the Democrat.”
While this does not guarantee victory for Trump just yet, it shows how the lack of power hitters down ballot is a serious threat to, not only Biden’s success in Georgia, but in his ability to win the more than 270 electoral votes required to win in November.
US Political Daily will keep you updated on any developments to this ongoing story.